OzSigmar

All-time Player Rank

Last Updated: 11 September 2022

This page reflects a “all time” player ranking, reflecting achievements over more than 150 recorded competitive events in Australian AOS history.     

———————-

The AOS Masters League in Australia now has 6+ years of event data and player performance data, across over 160 events.  Each seasons National Masters, State Masters and Faction Master ladders serve the primary purpose of reflecting players performance for the current active season, and by nature reset to back to 0 starting base for everyone each season.  

However the seasonal ladders do not provide a mechanism to rank players across long term, reflecting their long term performance, as they are restricted to the current season performance only.    So what happens to all that historical data?  To date, it just kind of disappears.

By contrast, in other games and sports, this data is usable to develop long term player ranking mechanisms (example, the Chess ELO rating system).   Long term player relative rankings may be used for:

– An aspiration for a player to aim for; 

– fuelling *friendly and sportsmanlike* competitive rivalry in our community;

– conduct opponent research & matchup expectation analysis coming into an event (eg some hard data to reference and feed into list review show analysis!); and

– mechanism for TO’s to innovate with alternative event formats (for example, these rankings could be used as the data reference for “Seeded” or “Reverse-Seeded” style event structures). 

The scores and rankings below represent the first release **experimental** only attempt at developing a long term player ranking / seeding system, leveraging the long term data the League has accumulated (but also limited by the specific data available).       

More detail on the current algorithm methodology can be found underneath the rankings ladder.

———————

Player All Time Rankings

RankPlayer Current  Total EventsChange Since April 2022
1Joel Graham            1,544                     2061
2David Kerr            1,468                     3112
3Matt Campbell            1,437                     2512
4Corey Papiniemi            1,433                     1723
5Michael Clarke            1,371                     135
6Charles Black            1,368                     120
7Sam Morgan            1,359                     1918
8Dalton Copeland            1,358                     290
9Ashley McEwan            1,355                     28-55
10Ryan Hooper            1,354                     190
11Hayden Walker            1,342                     270
12Patrick Carter            1,340                     150
13Wayne Buck            1,328                     1156
14Carwyn Llewelyn            1,323                     100
15Liam Burnett-Blue            1,315                     2830
16Joel McGrath            1,314                     3771
17Tyler Macdonald            1,314                     2025
18Mathew Tyrrell            1,308                     12-37
19Jordan Burgess            1,307                     11132
20Ethan McDonald            1,299                     210
21Luke McFadden            1,295                     130
22Hayden Ford            1,294                        738
23Brod McMurdo            1,286                        70
24Chris Welfare            1,285                     2268
25Simon Hall            1,285                     100
26Gabriele Dello            1,284                        80
27Peter Atkinson            1,275                     24-26
28Patrick Nevan            1,269                     280
29Jemma Shepherd            1,267                     280
30Tyson Gleeson            1,266                     3021
31Alexander Krohn            1,264                     18-72
32Anthony Magro            1,255                     3657
33Jason Brown            1,251                     1557
34Mark Nodge            1,251                        615
35Lachlan McLean            1,247                        70
36Sam Sims            1,240                        40
37Josh Maher            1,240                     210
38Jordan Goodchild            1,239                        654
39Tim Macdivitt            1,237                     160
40Rhys McGlinn            1,233                     150
41Nathan Thompson            1,229                     11125
42Michael Wood            1,226                        72
43Ryan Chamley            1,226                     1081
44Jacob Strachan            1,226                        695
45Scott Wyatt            1,221                     1881
46Bob Van emmerik            1,214                        3144
47Geordie Flett            1,214                     1131
48Robert Reimers            1,205                     16-12
49Shaun Ratcliffe            1,200                     1036
50Steve Gibb            1,197                        50
51Paul Jackson            1,196                        70
52Eddi Macmichael            1,195                        30
53Dan Corkran            1,192                        40
54Zenith Mills-Shorter            1,189                     1211
55Brendan Chamberlain            1,188                        754
56Michael Creighton            1,187                     360
57Keaghan Watson            1,184                     250
58Blake Kerwick            1,184                     120
59Andreas Nicolay            1,182                     177
60James Lynch            1,179                     12-54
61Michael Thomson            1,172                     14-36
62Luke Doman            1,171                        7-4
63Kieran Askins            1,168                     1250
64Tristan Smith            1,165                     290
65Patrick Neven            1,163                        4113
66Gary Den-Otter            1,162                        60
67Andrew Bigwood            1,158                     110
68Jarrod Baker            1,158                        5151
69Luke Gooley            1,156                        60
70Kent Hau            1,155                        749
71Ben Liekefett            1,155                        879
72Dean Matthews            1,151                     120
73Josh Carroll            1,150                        70
74Matt Kent            1,145                     1520
75Terence Voller            1,138                        30
76Gabriel Hanna            1,137                     110
77Daniel Edwards            1,137                        331
78Brogan Clark            1,136                        9-29
79Steven Drury            1,135                     11-99
80Adam Williamson            1,128                     10-33
81Benjamin Spinetti            1,124                     240
82Rohit Thomas            1,121                     10-4
83Cory Ford            1,120                     220
84Nathan Lee            1,120                        341
85Seth Schneider            1,119                     1031
86Brody Burger            1,118                        80
87William Walters            1,114                        20
88Sean Haigh            1,114                        9-67
89Nathan Goodchild            1,110                        676
90Quinn Gorlick            1,109                        281
91Alex Morris            1,105                        30
92Steven Fitzpatrick            1,103                        80
93Daniellorddoyle            1,102                        50
94Bobby Brown            1,097                        60
95Pui Hin HO            1,096                        30
96Cam McKean            1,095                        20
97Sam Thomson            1,094                     1014
98Haydn Wright            1,094                        872
99Conor Ahern            1,090                        274
100Zac Lehr            1,089                        60
101Elliot Stenson            1,087                     1084
102Jye Callanan            1,087                     12-72
103William Beale            1,087                        263
104Jack Solomons            1,086                        80
105Mitch Gleeson            1,086                        234
106Joshua Nightingall            1,086                        40
107Alex Terrasson            1,085                        290
108Josh ???            1,085                        10
109Thomas Strachan            1,084                        592
110Jonathon Burn            1,083                        10
111Kyle Liefting            1,082                        22
112Micharl Thomson            1,082                        10
113Scott Norwood            1,080                     160
114Wes Graham            1,079                     110
115Dylan Close            1,078                        20
116Nick Matthysen            1,077                        10
117Deke Johnstone            1,077                     210
118Gary Chen            1,077                        10
119Jett Griffiths            1,074                     2122
120Arthur Voulgaris            1,074                        30
121Jarryd Wilson            1,074                        5-5
122Quentin Keller            1,072                        30
123Wade McDonald            1,070                        30
124Steven Baglin            1,068                        40
125James Landis            1,067                        457
126Josh Richards            1,066                        20
127Sean Muller            1,066                     120
128Ty Gordon            1,066                        10
129Jacob Meers            1,065                        329
130Grant Spence            1,065                        10
131Marco Snow            1,065                        20
132Timothy Gunderson            1,064                        10
133William Gates            1,064                        356
134Kyle Ward            1,063                        50
135Jacob Richards            1,062                        319
136Jason Musci            1,061                        10
137Nick James            1,061                        558
138Rainy Comley            1,061                        20
139Tim Baumann            1,060                        253
140Cody Howden            1,059                        5-40
141Gavin Woodrow            1,058                        7-80
142Damian Musci            1,056                        10
143Denys Laurie            1,056                     140
144Jarrad Coots             1,056                        10
145Jason Harris            1,056                     160
146Richard Bon            1,055                        10
147Alex Rowe            1,055                        20
148Scott Marshall            1,054                        10
149Josh Hearn            1,053                        10
150Steven Nuttall            1,053                        590
151Luke Taylor            1,052                     160
152Thomas Brigden            1,051                        421
153Jayden Hargreaves            1,051                        10
154Chris Zagarelos            1,050                        10
155Dan Brown            1,050                        70
156Yanxue  Pang            1,050                        10
157John McKinley            1,049                        40
158Jeff Campbell            1,049                        10
159Brad Blackmore            1,049                        10
160Yanxue Pang            1,048                        10
161Bevan Bond            1,048                        20
162Stephen Patteson            1,047                        10
163Chris Crichton            1,046                        10
164Zack Watson            1,046                        50
165Pat Carter            1,045                        30
166James Fischbeck            1,045                        10
167Matthew Daly            1,044                     120
168Matthew Kimber            1,043                        20
169Adam Bajjada            1,043                        324
170Nick Cambridge            1,042                     19-79
171Matthew Gammie            1,042                     210
172Lawrence Krauter            1,041                        20
173Duncan Cross            1,040                        30
174Timothy Bevan            1,039                        10
175Harley Greenwagon            1,039                        20
176Nathan Gibbs            1,038                        263
177Tyson Braithwaite            1,038                     104
178Jason Tipping            1,037                     11-19
179Matt Gammie            1,037                        412
180Heath Thompson            1,037                        524
181James Worrell            1,037                        20
182Sebastian Ulrichs            1,037                        10
183Peter Horlock            1,037                        622
184Kieren Coates            1,035                        30
185Nic Wright            1,035                        20
186William Knight            1,035                        86
187Kris Becker            1,034                        97
188Monty Moss            1,034                        10
189Bill Gates            1,033                        20
190Matthew Tait            1,032                        20
191Kyle Tregloan            1,030                        30
192Jeremy Dostal-Sharp            1,030                        10
193Anthony Dean            1,030                        10
194Bradley Barrett            1,030                        20
195Christian Wear            1,030                        50
196Ben Camden-Smith            1,029                        80
197Eugene Orlov            1,029                        3-7
198James Coyle            1,029                        20
199Thomas Smart            1,027                     130
200Jacob Hughes            1,027                        619
201Todd Hardacre            1,026                        10
202Billy Burman            1,026                        20
203Ben Macey            1,026                        50
204Ge Chen            1,025                        10
205Mathew Daly            1,024                        20
206Matty Manzl            1,024                        30
207Gwilym van den Bosch            1,022                        10
208Kyle Murray            1,022                        10
209Gabriel Collingwood            1,022                        10
210Jeff Galea            1,021                        30
211Bradley Baker            1,021                     15-9
212Ben Spinetti            1,021                        412
213Cameron Small            1,021                        10
214Luca Foerster            1,021                        10
215Damian Newsome            1,021                        913
216Ciaran Deem            1,020                        20
217Henry Wagner            1,020                     10-66
218Richard Budge            1,020                        10
219Tony Peever            1,020                        30
220Anthony Zagarelos            1,019                        10
221Corey Ford            1,019                        215
222Dave Cunning            1,019                        10
223Matt James            1,019                        10
224David Fizzel            1,019                        20
225Gabrielle Dello            1,019                        10
226Adam Hart            1,018                        10
227Sean Hortin            1,017                     110
228Jordan Commons            1,017                        20
229David Hurley            1,017                     18-28
230Andrei Leucuta            1,016                        10
231Gary Houschildt            1,016                     14-15
232James Crossland            1,016                        10
233Thomas Oliver            1,015                        10
234Natalie Ayano            1,015                        10
235Shea Curwell            1,015                        10
236Gökan Alyüz            1,015                        10
237Marcus Papamanos            1,015                        10
238Timothy Macdivitt            1,015                        26
239Stephen Ogilvie            1,015                        10
240Matthew Kent            1,014                        10
241Jeffery Dodds            1,013                        10
242Lachlan Robertson            1,013                        10
243Dylan Lindquist            1,013                        10
244Paul Long            1,013                        417
245Jacob McCorry            1,013                        20
246Louis Dillon-Savage            1,012                        10
247Jake Doherty            1,012                        10
248Jonathon Williams            1,011                        4-2
249Sam McGuiggan            1,011                        20
250Chase Price            1,011                        10
251Nicholas Groh            1,011                        10
252Benjamin Woolfe            1,011                        10
253Rhys Balkin            1,011                        10
254Chris Leotta            1,011                        30
255Daniel Kleeman            1,011                        10
256James Webster            1,011                        10
257Lenny Bell            1,010                        20
258Aiden Holder-Wadey            1,010                        10
259Jesse Maher            1,010                        10
260Anthony Quilty            1,009                        40
261Brad Van Doren            1,009                        10
262Simon Nickels            1,008                        10
263Matt Hibble            1,008                        30
264Jeremy Page            1,008                        20
265Taylor James            1,008                        10
266Christopher Moore            1,008                        40
267Alex Selth            1,008                        5-32
268Jarrett Crawford            1,008                        10
269Tim Close            1,007                        3-48
270Hayley Verall            1,007                        10
271Adam Southwell            1,007                        10
272Terrance Levett            1,007                        10
273Mike Watson            1,006                        30
274Alastair Ashley            1,006                        10
275Aidan Holder-wadey            1,006                        10
276Samuel Strachan            1,005                        10
277Caleb Tong            1,005                        10
278John Robinson            1,004                        20
279Angus Fonstin            1,004                        10
280Richard Marek            1,004                        10
281Jarred Haggard            1,004                        10
282Sam Garlejo            1,004                     110
283Winston Boots            1,004                        10
284Jacob Bondarenko            1,003                        516
285Dylon Hopkins            1,003                        30
286Ty Mensinga            1,003                        10
287Lance Linaker            1,003                        10
288Dean Rossiter            1,003                        40
289Jon Lee            1,002                        10
290Sam Roubicek            1,002                        10
291Jonathan Okely            1,002                        346
292Dennis Kew            1,002                        10
293Joel Einstein            1,001                        2-45
294Jayden Andrea            1,000                        4-37
295Kyle Hoffman            1,000                     16-62
296Scott Briggs            1,000                        10
297John Pham            1,000                        10
298Pranas Kuprys               999                        10
299Sam Strachan               999                        20
300Steven Nuttal               999                        10
301Simon Boyle               998                        20
302Jake Barrett               998                        10
303Bruce Phan               998                        30
304James Burton               998                        10
305Daniel Homan               998                        10
306Matthew Slattery               998                        40
307Andrew Hawks               998                        10
308Josh Nightingall               998                        10
309Nick Rochow               998                        10
310Akeem Wallace               997                        60
311Nick Palmrose               997                     11-25
312Saminda Gates               997                        10
313Jason Spinks               997                     25-21
314Jack Donkers               997                        10
315David Lancaster               996                        80
316Ben Roughan               996                        442
317Brent Koppel               996                        20
318Jake Gunning               996                        40
319Connor Salmon               995                        10
320Liam Bork Smith               995                        10
321Ally Robinson               995                        10
322Blake McLachlan               995                        4-33
323William Bonnici               995                        10
324Taz Cadman               995                        20
325Josh Meteyard               994                        635
326Zachary Rockman               994                        10
327Sam Morris               994                        10
328Zac Greene               994                        10
329Liam Robinson               993                        20
330Andrew Sheppard               993                        10
331Jack Hawthorn               992                        10
332Bradley Crouch               992                        10
333Stewart Rach               992                        10
334Thomas Guy               992                        10
335Lachlan Northey               992                        10
336Zachary Sindelar               991                        70
337Stephen Macgregor               991                        2-20
338Leon Jansen               991                        10
339Alex Murray               991                        861
340Pete Bickford               990                        10
341Christopher Stratford               990                        10
342James Fuller               990                        10
343Steven Fox               990                        10
344Phillip Johnstone               990                        10
345Jarrod Smith               990                        20
346Rory Argent               990                        10
347Jacobi Jones               990                        30
348Nicholas Zambo               990                        55
349Luke Patti               989                        50
350Pete Horlock               989                        427
351Victor Leung               989                        10
352Anthony Rowe               989                        20
353Tim McDivitt               989                        10
354Sebastian Graham               989                        10
355Jarred Haggard                988                        10
356Patrick Browning               988                        20
357Locklan Hall               988                        30
358Danny Magon               988                        10
359Dave Newman               987                        10
360Nigel Weir               987                        30
361Kuang               987                        10
362Jarret Crawford               987                        2-8
363Andrew Erlandsen               987                        10
364Rob Brockwell               987                        10
365Dale Amici-Walker               987                        10
366Andrew Lim               986                        10
367Matthew Atkins-Smith               986                        10
368Dylan Ferguson               986                        20
369Kyren Ross               986                        10
370Ethan Moon               986                        10
371Steve Baglin               986                        3-23
372Chris Facer               986                        10
373Brett Earle               986                        10
374Lester Rea               986                        10
375Bea Meadows               985                        10
376Danny Neall               985                        30
377Owen Cross               985                        266
378Deano Matthews               985                        10
379Daniel Trotter               985                        30
380Chris Moore               985                        10
381Joshua Hanson               984                        10
382David Breese               984                        10
383Geoff Hanson               984                        10
384Greg Boisgard               983                        10
385Alex Sobiecki                983                        10
386Jay Smith               983                        10
387Austin Cranfield               983                        8102
388Calvin Marcus               983                        10
389Nic Cambridge               983                        10
390Fabian Castillo               982                        10
391Allan Bachmann               982                        10
392Barry Rowan               982                        812
393Freddie Berryman               982                        10
394Mark Sinozic               981                        10
395Thomas Holdsworth               981                     300
396Ben Cannon               981                        10
397Sam Lemin               981                        10
398Nash Davidson               980                        10
399Chris Stratford               980                     140
400Brett Warhurst               980                        10
401Eddy Cheung               980                        10
402Ben Semken-Hansell               980                        10
403Lloyd Jamieson               980                        10
404Christof Bogacs               980                        10
405Darcy O’Brien               980                        60
406David Thompson               980                        10
407Sam Crean               980                        41
408Luke Payne               980                        10
409Andrew Watkins               979                        10
410Jacob  Hanley               979                        10
411Gumby ByeBuster               979                        10
412Mark McLeish               978                        10
413Jemma Shepard               978                        10
414Nick Cuevas               978                        10
415Koen Garlick-Trease               978                        10
416Jeremy Knight               977                        10
417Ian Robertson               977                        2-5
418Kevin Little               977                        10
419Dion Samiras               977                        10
420Mitchell Ross               977                        10
421Philip Smith               976                        10
422Garth T               976                        10
423Ryan Jamieson               976                        20
424Trent Linaker               976                        20
425Dave Hurley               975                        10
426Marc Unsworth               975                        20
427Alistair Catterall               975                        10
428James Anderson               975                        50
429Kurt Briggs               974                        10
430Eddie Mccormack               974                        3-9
431Jesse Leotta               974                        30
432Isaac Jockel               973                        10
433Joshua Foster               973                        910
434Harrison Wise               971                        10
435Anthony Foti               971                        10
436Corey Beilharz               971                     28-60
437Joshua Handley               970                        20
438Kylan Day               970                        10
439Chris Wilcox               970                     130
440Scott Moss               969                        2-23
441Ryan Shanks               967                     180
442Chris Hallett               967                        3-58
443Ross Aitkenhead               967                        10
444Chris Archer               966                        10
445John Burn               966                        10
446William Thomas-Walters               966                        10
447Jordan Madgwick               966                        10
448Oliver Williams               964                        10
449Jared Haggard               963                        30
450John Daly               961                        5-11
451Nicholas Rochow               961                        10
452Robert Kern               961                     10-10
453Daniel Wheatley               961                        10
454Dan Wheatley               961                        10
455Alex Mackenzie               960                        10
456Gregory Leuschner               960                        20
457Simon Kennewell               960                        20
458Alexander Morris               960                        10
459Josh Vibert               960                        31
460Connor Armstrong               959                     100
461Eddi Cheung               959                        30
462Joshua Wolfe               959                        10
463Sean O’Dea               959                        20
464Connor Bellert               959                        30
465Tim Place               958                        10
466Saxon Foti               958                        10
467Arthur Simak               958                        10
468Adam Mitchell               958                        44
469Chris Clarke               957                        30
470Andrew Frankhuisen               957                     14-33
471Colin Roy               957                        3-10
472Clint Mallet               957                     2774
473Cody Palise               957                        10
474David Cunning               956                     200
475Michael Cheel               956                        30
476Andrew Glasson               955                        10
477Braiden Graw               955                        8-78
478Odin Asagrim               955                        10
479Liam Smits               955                        60
480Cameron Black               955                        10
481Adrien Kent               955                        10
482Mitchell Bowmer               954                        10
483Jono Inger               954                        4-23
484Johan Grove               954                        10
485Aaron McHours               954                        5-14
486Duncan Lamrock               953                        10
487Lane Howson               952                        40
488Dwyane Barolo               952                        10
489Shem O’Brien               952                        10
490Jaspar Weenick               950                        10
491Gavin Scott               949                        10
492Alex Rogers               949                        30
493Andrew Beltrama               947                        10
494Nat Ayano               947                        50
495Samuel Garlejo               947                        10
496Mick Creighton               947                        10
497Todd Heffernan               947                        10
498Dayne Thompson               947                        6-80
499David Piper               946                        10
500Richy James               946                        10
501Jordan De Visser               946                        5-34
502Michael Pene               946                     130
503Harry Moore               946                        10
504Matthew Dale               946                        40
505Luke Joyce               945                        10
506Nicholas Thorondor               945                        20
507Shane Trease               945                        10
508Daniel Watson               945                        10
509Jarrah Booth               944                        20
510Andrew Beltrame               944                        10
511James Shirlaw               944                        20
512Phillip Smith               943                        60
513Carlos Greblo               943                        20
514Karl Hawkins               943                        4-39
515Scott Batchelor               942                        438
516Trevor Williams               942                        2-71
517Lachlan Clark               941                        9-17
518Chris McMiles               941                        10
519Sean Tufnell               940                        20
520Michael Kelly               940                        10
521Stephen Binek               940                     110
522Marcus Haynes               940                        20
523sam swinson               940                        10
524Ryan Catlin               939                        10
525Greg Rybak               938                        2-45
526Alex Bathgate               937                        10
527Damian Loch               937                        20
528Robert Karlen               936                     100
529Hugh Craill               936                     100
530Adam Ragg               935                        10
531Joshua Clarke               935                        10
532Keir Simpson               934                        10
533Jeffrey Dodds               934                        10
534Trevor O’Hanlon               933                        10
535Matt Tester               932                        20
536David Potts               931                        10
537Mitchell Baskys               931                        20
538Max Campbell               931                        10
539Mark Warhurst               930                     120
540Jordan D               930                        10
541Zach De Glass                930                        10
542Ken Shimizu               929                        10
543Jasper Weenink               929                        20
544Jade Coase               928                        10
545Jess Thompson               928                        10
546Mitch Baskys               927                        10
547Mark Beardmore               927                        10
548Josh McCluskey               927                        10
549Chris Eddy               927                     139
550Bond Bond               925                        10
551Zac Stephens               925                        419
552Katie Daly               925                        4-44
553Jarran Aurisch               925                        20
554Michael Healy               924                        9-64
555Graham Nightingall               924                        10
556daniel glanville               924                        10
557Martin Brooks               924                     13-79
558Chris Melican               923                        10
559Ben Smith               921                        4-45
560Benjamin Murphy               921                        10
561Thomas Orr               920                        30
562Tyler Trenerry               919                        20
563Monika Ba Pe               919                        10
564Alex Sobiecki               918                     130
565Peter Dixon               918                        10
566Alex Gordon-Carlisle               918                        60
567Ben Chong Sun               917                        80
568Brodie Mortimer               917                     100
569Jonathan Burn               916                     11-30
570Zoran Tillers               916                     12-3
571Jackson McCormack               916                        10
572Ty Pastorella               914                        10
573Teagan Meers               914                        10
574Jack Markey               913                        10
575Ruairi Doyle               913                        10
576Cole Newman               913                        20
577Fletcher Oldaker               912                        60
578Nick Argent               912                        10
579Brendan Healy               912                        10
580Aaron Rudloff               907                        2-82
581Benjamin Tranter               905                        30
582Jason Wood               905                        7-19
583Grant Ollis               905                        20
584William Bromley               904                        20
585Tim Brumpton               901                        3-55
586Haydn Rosewall               901                        2-78
587Brad Petrie               900                        50
588Elisabeth Lockhart               899                     150
589Adam Huey               899                     100
590David Maidment               897                        30
591Aaron Comben               897                        30
592Luc Collaros               895                        20
593James Maybury               895                     1860
594Ian Pearce               893                        4-25
595Patrick Murray               893                        60
596Chris Bodin               893                        20
597Ken Sattler               892                        7-6
598Aidan Milne               892                        20
599Adam Bray               891                        5-49
600Nicolas Matthysen               889                        2-39
601Khyl Heffernan               888                        50
602Dean Olson               885                        20
603Ben Murphy               885                        20
604Stewart Francis               884                     107
605Adam Cohen               884                        2-60
606Tom Kelly               881                        20
607Jed O’Brien               880                        40
608Dion Lamont               879                        30
609Nick Conlan               878                        60
610Ryan Parker               877                        20
611Jason Dowley               877                        30
612Stavros Kalaitzidis               876                        90
613Lucy Moore               876                        5-126
614Trevor O’Hanlon               876                        70
615Steven Patteson               875                        40
616Ben Clarke               873                        20
617Nathan Little               868                        40
618Nathan Maher               867                        847
619Brady Abberton               863                     1540
620Brandt Cers               861                        40
621Tero Kanko               858                        6-58
622Luke Stone               857                     100
623Richard Scott               852                        40
624Gokan Alyuz               851                        30
625Monika Ba-Pe               849                        60
626Andrew Armstrong               848                        20
627Chris Wilson               846                        5-49
628Tyson Probyn               845                        20
629Noel Leslie               843                        30
630Steve Kassem               841                        7-34
631Tim Davis               839                     200
632Josh Clark               833                        70
633Rob Horsburgh               830                        50
634Jonathon Seth               830                        60
635Steve Sweet               827                        3-59
636Ion Zisu               820                        60
637Peter Bickford               818                        5-46
638Luke Ingram               808                     190
639Luke Stopp               808                        70
640Ace Holder-Wadey               801                        70
641Nicole Koorneef               795                     130
642Shem O’Brien               794                        6-54
643Jarrad Coots               793                     15-42
644Jarrod Hamilton-MacLaren               769                        90
645Craig Anderson               760                     14-101
646Kyle Brown               755                        60
647Adam Norris               738                     100
648James Shaman               736                     260
649Cameron McCormack               733                        90
650Mat Holt               720                     110

Approx 500 other players filtered out due to not-active status filter (see below)

Algorithm Technical Details

This algorithm is ‘inspired’ by the principles of the “Elo” algorithm as used for Chess (search Wikipedia Elo Chess for details).  It has technical differences due to data limitations but is based on some of the underlying core philosophy.   

 –  Each player starts at 1000 points for their first event.  The model is “baynesian” with each players score then changing after the event based on results at that event.

 – At each event, the algorithm derives an ‘expected result’ based on the average strength of the field and their own starting score pre-event. The expected result is a formula to estimate the percentile of where this player “should” end up based on the field.      

Example 1: a new player joins an event with all other new players, their ‘expected result’ is tuned to be 50th percentile of that field.   

Example 2: A new player joins an event with a lot of strong experienced players, the ‘expected result’ will be lower (say 35th percentile of the field) (and vice versa).

Example 3: A highly experienced strongly rated player joining an event that has a lot of less experienced will have a high ‘expected result’ (say 80th percentile of the field).   

 – After each event, the players score is updated based on their actual result (converted to be a percentile rank of the field) minus their ‘expected result’.  This can be result in either a positive or negative ‘delta’ .     

– Various Multipliers or discounts to the ‘delta’ are then applied based on the size and length of the event as follows:

Events that are 32 players or higher get a 1.25x multiple

Events that are 24-31 players get a 1.0x multiple

Events that are <24 players get a 0.5x multiple   

Events that are 5+ rounds get 1.0x multiple

Events that less than 5 rounds get a 0.6x multiple.

(Events <12 players are not applicable)  

A flat 1.5x “acceleration multiple” also applies to all deltas.  The acceleration multiple is designed to make the player scores (and resulting ladder ranking) more dynamic as events are logged.

 – By design it is harder to accumulate additional points the higher a players starting score and also easier to lose points if a strong player posts a poor result in an event.    In effect, the algorithm is tuned such that a “soft cap” of 1500 is close to the maximum achievable result, and the only way to get to that result is very consistent top tier performance.    

Example 1: A ~1500 player can still continue to positively accumulate points if they continue to achieve results at the very top of the ladder every single event (at present, top ranked players need to finish in the 10% of the field better in any event to accumulate additional points);

Example 2:  A ~1400 player in a typical field will accrue positive points if they finish in the top ~15% of the field, and lose points if they perform poorer than this.

Example 3:   A ~1300 player in a typical field will accrue positive points if they finish in the top ~25% of the field, and lose points if they perform poorer than this.

Example 4:  A ~800 player in a typical field will accrue positive results if they finish in the top ~75% of the field.

The higher your starting ranking, the more points you also lose for any poorer-than-expected performance in an event.     The vice versa also applies -> a player with a low starting score can accumulate lots of points quickly with each strong performance.

– The algorithm is tuned such that anything over approx. 1200 points is evidence the player has achieved long term consistent competitive success at the game.    Overall it will take many events with good performance to accumulate to the 1200+  level, and players getting to 1300+, 1400+ level is difficult by design, requiring many events with consistently good performance.   A new player to the scene will take at least 7-10 events with solid performance to accumulate enough points to place towards the top of the table.    

– An ‘Active Player’ filter is applied such that only players who have played a recorded event in the last 720 days (~2 years) are included in the rankings.   The most notable individual consequence amongst the top ranked players from apply an ‘Active Player’ cut-off is “Dan Brewer” (Score 1428).  There is also roughly 500 other players who are currently filtered out by the Active Player filter.     If an inactive player becomes re-active, all their old results will still contribute to their score when it reactivates.   Future evolutions of the algorithm may attempt to refine a “depreciation model” where older results are given lower weighting compared to more recent results, but this has been difficult to technically achieve in test modelling so far.

– The current algorithm is tuned on results from 141 events between 2016 to present.  Data limitations include event final standing are known, but individual game level data has not been captured.   At present there is no attempt to adjust for any sort of faction strength factor.

– No algorithm is ever going to be perfect.   Any score difference between around +/- 30 is likely the “margin of error” (guess).   Each event can see a player accrue (or also lose) 50+ points depending on result and the multipliers that apply, which is hoped to lead to lots of dynamism in the ladder as events unfold.  

– It is also recognised that AOS as an overall hobby experience is very different to chess, in that players come to events all all sorts of goals (not just trying to winning maximum number of games), and it is an asymmetrical game.  It is also noted that players sometimes switch gears – sometimes they play in events for competitive reasons, but in other events they are participating for other reasons (eg experimental lists, hobby goals, social goals).  This could influence a players score going up and down over time and therefore their score may not fully reflect of their ‘true’ pure competitive strength as a player.   No algorithm can capture such aspects, and the algorithm is designed based solely on each players recorded results at events.   

Note: Data integrity -> the data is based on results as submitted by TO’s over time.  Various errors can creep in, such as same player exact name matching (eg “Matthew” vs “Matt” or “Dave” vs “David”).  Attempts have been made to identify but residual errors could remain.   Please contact Michael Clarke if you think you have found a some type of error.